MANAGERS OF THE YEAR
Sunday, September 30th, 2012Davey Johnson or Dusty Baker? Buck Showalter or Bob Melvin? Or Robin Ventura?
The most valuable player and Cy Young awards usually command the most attention among post-season awards, but this season has been a good year for outstanding managerial jobs, and an unusually high number of legitimately worthy candidates deserve serious consideration for the manager of the year awards.
The managers matter to me because I am a member of a five-man panel that selects the Chuck Tanner manager of the year for the Pittsburgh Rotary Club. We had our first conference call last week and concluded that we had a lot of work to do. We also raised the possibility, because of the abundance of good candidates, of naming a manager of the year in each league. In previous years we named one manager for the major leagues.
The Baseball Writers Association selects a manager in each league based on votes of two panels, one for each league, consisting of two writers from each league city, 28 voters for the American League, 32 for the National. My guess is this year’s BBWAA’s award winners will be Johnson and Showalter.
But why Showalter and not Melvin? That’s a good question, as good as asking why Melvin and not Showalter. Both clearly deserve the award.
Showalter has taken a team burdened with 14 consecutive losing seasons and managed them into a season-long playoff chase. On July 18, when they lagged 10 games behind the New York Yankees in the American League East they didn’t resemble a serious competitor.
But here they are, with four games left in the season, in two races, going into Sunday’s games on the last weekend of the season tied with the Yankees for the division lead and, with the Yankees, a game ahead of the Oakland Athletics in the wild-card standings.
Showalter, who has managed three other teams, has a unique managerial history, not in managing teams to the World Series but in his proximity to the World Series. The season after the Yankees and the Arizona Diamondbacks fired him, they won the World Series, and three years after he involuntarily left the Texas Rangers they went to the World Series and returned last year.
This is Showalter’s second full season with the Orioles, and they have made a remarkable turnaround under him, going from a 69-93 record, fifth-place finish last season to 91-67 and possible division championship this season.
Everyone kept waiting for – expecting – the Orioles to self-destruct this year, a la the New York Mets, the Miami Marlins and the Cleveland Indians, but Showalter kept them running as a finely tuned engine, outplaying even the Tampa Bay Rays, who had been the division’s previous Cinderella story.
The Orioles have had plenty of chances to collapse, but Showalter refused to let them. It seems the longer a game is extended, the better the Orioles’ chances of winning, They have won their last 16 extra-inning games, the longest extra-inning winning streaks since the Indians won 17 straight in 1949, according to Elias Sports Bureau. Ten Baltimore games have lasted 12 innings or more, and the Orioles have won 9.
They have played 5 games of 14 or more innings and won them all. They played consecutive games of 18 and 11 innings and won both. They have a 52-22 record in games decided by one run or two runs. They had a 13-game stretch of one-run games, winning them all, the longest such streak, Elias said, since Toronto won 19 one-run games in a row in 1984.
How about these results that should make opponents wary of getting into extra-inning games with the Orioles? They have won games in 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 17 and 18 innings. Elias says it is the first time in major league history that a team has won games in eight different extra innings.
Besides Showalter’s magic touch, one of the secrets of the Orioles’ extra-innings dominance has been their relief corps. In games that have gone extra-innings, the relievers have a 1.37 earned run average. After the ninth inning in those games, the relievers’ e.r.a. is 0.75.
The Athletics, meanwhile, have not played like a platoon of pumpkins. Melvin, in his first full season in Oakland, has directed the Athletics to the brink of the playoffs with a 90-68 record (through Saturday) compared with their 74-88 finish last year. Fired from his previous managing jobs in Seattle and Arizona, Melvin has taken the lowest paying and most inexperienced team in the majors to unexpected heights.
Going into a doubleheader with the Anaheim Angels Sunday, the A’s were 2 ½ games behind the Rangers in the A.L. West and 2 ½ games ahead of the Angels for the second wild-card slot.
Last December, the A’s appeared to make Melvin’s job more difficult, trading their two best starting pitchers, Gio Gonzalez and Trevor Cahill, and their closer, Andrew Bailey. But as the season progressed, the pressure on Melvin intensified even more with the Athletics becoming less experienced as the days slipped by.
They are finishing the season with an all-rookie starting rotation, they have a total of 15 rookies on the roster and they have used 19 rookies over-all during the season, second most to the Chicago Cubs’ 20 and second most in Oakland history (21 in 2008). The abundance of rookies is one of the reasons the Athletics have the lowest payroll in the major leagues, but their $59 million expenditure hasn’t undermined Melvin‘s ability to motivate his players.
Neither has the Athletics’ impotent offense. The A’s were hitting .237 (through Saturday), next to lowest in the A.L., and they had struck out a league-record 1,358 times, fifth most in major league history.
The White Sox haven’t turned their season around; in fact, in the past week, they have threatened to wreck their season. However they end up, though, Ventura has done a creditable job in his first season anywhere as a manager.
The White Sox led the A.L. Central for most of the last two-thirds of the season, moving into first place May 29 in the midst of a nine-game winning streak and staying there for all but eight days until last Wednesday, when the pre-season favorite Detroit Tigers slipped by them. They began Sunday’s games two games behind the Tigers with four games to play.
A 16-year major league third baseman with four teams after never having played in the minors, Ventura was hired by the White Sox, for whom he played his first 10 seasons, as a special assignment instructor June 6, 2011. Four months later, he was named manager to replace the volatile, wacky Ozzie Guillen, who was let go to become manager of the Miami Marlins. Ventura and the White Sox have had a far better season than Guillen and the Marlins.
I don’t think Ron Washington of Texas will get any consideration for the award, but unless the Rangers squander their season-long A.L. West lead, down to 2 ½ games before Sunday, he will have managed the team to three successive division championships with a chance for a third consecutive league pennant and World Series appearance. Not many managers have been there, done that in recent decades.
Davey Johnson just lost his third base coach, Bo Porter, who the other day was named the Astros’ manager, but he hasn’t lost much else this season. After leaving a front-office advisory position to manage the Nationals in the second half of last season (40-43), Johnson has excelled in his first full season in Washington.
The Nationals were expected to be improved this season but not improved so much that they would lead the N.L. East since May 22, more than two-thirds of the season, much of the time with the league’s best record and going into Sunday’s games the majors’ best record.
That Johnson has been able to take a bunch of mostly younger players comes as no surprise. In six full seasons with the Mets, Johnson finished first twice and second four times. The Mets pulled off an unexpected World Series championship under him in 1986.
In Cincinnati he led the Reds to the division’s best record in 1994 but a strike wiped out the playoffs. Just to prove it was no fluke, though, Johnson and the Reds did it again the following season. Johnson also won a division title with the Orioles in 1997.
Following that season he was named A.L. manager of the year – on the day he resigned as the Orioles’ manager. Johnson was embroiled in a dispute with the owner, Peter Angelos, who was slow in letting Johnson know if he would get a contract extension. Johnson, a hard-nosed competitor, decided to resign rather than wait and find out he didn’t have a job for 1998.
Johnson’s 98-64 record in 1997 was the Orioles’ last winning record until this season.
Johnson had one other managing job, with the Los Angeles Dodgers in 1999 and 2000. He won no more division titles and gained no new jobs after that term. Early in his 10-year hiatus from managing in the majors, Johnson was rumored to be the victim of being blacklisted. However, earlier this season, he told me he never heard that rumor and didn’t believe it was true.
However, Johnson’s record of consistent success and what he has done this season with the Nationals, it’s curious why he went a decade without a major league managing job. Fired managers far less successful than Johnson seem to be rehired all the time.
Dusty Baker, on the other hand, is a man who can stay employed. From 1993 through this season, two decades, Baker has sat out only one season, 2007 between jobs with the Cubs and the Reds. He has also managed the Giants.
Baker has taken teams to the post-season five times but has never won a World Series. He has had a team in one, the Giants in 2002, but they lost to the Angels in seven games.
The Reds make six post-season teams for Baker. In his fifth season with them, he overcame the lengthy loss of the team’s No. 1 slugger and run producer, Joey Votto. The first baseman missed 49 games from July 16 to Sept. 5, but that period inexplicably coincided with the Reds’ takeoff.
When Votto went down with a knee injury, the Reds had a 50-38 record (.568) and a one-game division lead. In his 49-game absence, the Reds ran up a 33-16 record (.673) and built their lead to 8 ½ games.
Baker himself suffered health problems recently. He was hospitalized with a mini-stroke and an irregular heart beat and was in the hospital when the Reds clinched their second division title in three years Sept. 22.
Because they were that good recently, Baker’s credentials for manager of the year are not as strong as Johnson’s. But allow me to toss two other candidates into the mix. They are Fredi Gonzalez of Atlanta and Clint Hurdle, the manager of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
I mention Gonzalez because he was able to overcome the Braves’ stunning collapse of last September that cost them a post-season invitation. The Braves took command of the N.L. wild-card race early in August and never let go.
The Braves snatched that lead from the Pirates, who seemed well on their way to ending their string of 19 successive losing seasons. They had a 63-47 record Aug. 8. With no warning, however, they went into a tailspin, losing 34 of 47 games, incurring their 81st loss to Homer Bailey’s no-hitter, insuring they could not have their first winning season in two decades.
Does Hurdle merit consideration for that debacle? Not at all, but give the man credit for giving a city hope for a few months and for the future, when the Pirates may actually win enough games to have a winning record and this time maintain it and mean it.
These are won-lost records of teams whose managers are manager-of-the-year candidates through Saturday, September 29:

And there’s right fielder Josh Reddick, acquired from Boston for Bailey. Reddick, in his first full season, leads the Athletics with 29 home runs and 79 runs batted in.
He added, “The reason we’ve gone younger and made the moves we’ve made is based on our belief that within our ability to keep these players, we’ll have a stadium.”

Rose does not admit or deny in the agreement that he bet on baseball. But as soon as the agreement was released to the news media, Rose immediately and publicly denied that he bet on baseball, then kept denying it for 15 years until he wrote a book. He admitted it then for only one reason, the usual Pete Rose reason – to make more money.