ROOKIE STRIKING OUT ON HIS OWN
Sunday, June 26th, 2016No one ever started a career the way Trevor Story did. Playing shortstop for the Colorado Rockies in place of the suspended Jose Reyes, Story hit home runs in each of his first four games, a total of six. He added a seventh home run in his sixth game.
The early flurry of home runs overshadowed Story’s strikeouts – eight in those first six games, 15 in the first nine, a trio of 3-strikeout games in a 5-game span.
Now, approaching the halfway point of the season, the 23-year-old Story has struck out 104 times (before Sunday), more than any other major league hitter.
He is the leader of a pack of hitters who are headed toward an all-time high number of strikeouts, projected to top 38,000 for the first time in major league history. With an especially whiffy second half, hitters could even reach 39,000.
The rise in strikeouts is not new. Every season since 2005 has seen an increase in major league strikeouts. The increases in that 10-year span have ranged from a high of 1,938 in 2012 to a low of 5 last year.
Unlike the view of strikeouts in earlier eras, in this era they are not seen as something to be avoided at all costs. Players see a strikeout as just another out, same as a grounder or a fly ball. Managers and general managers have no choice but to accept the current thinking.
The Baltimore Orioles’ signing of Chris Davis last January epitomized the new way of thinking about strikeouts and their acceptance.
Davis, the Orioles’ premier slugger for four seasons, became a free agent after last season, potentially ending his tenure with the team by leading the majors in strikeouts with 208.
The Orioles, however, opted to re-sign Davis, giving the 30-year-old first baseman a seven-year, $161 million contract. With $6 million deferred each year without interest, the present-day value of the deal is worth only about $21 million a year instead of $23 million, but it still comes out to be worth $101,000 per strikeout.
The contract is worth it to the Orioles because in the last four seasons Davis averaged 40 homers and 103 runs batted per year.
A week before the Orioles signed Davis, they agreed to a $9.15 million salary for this year with Mark Trumbo, a designated hitter, whom they acquired in a trade with Seattle six weeks earlier. Entering Sunday’s games, Davis was third in the strikeout race with 100 and Trumbo was eighth with 84.
The Orioles did not make their decisions blindly. Asked if they considered Davis’ strikeout frequency, General Manager Dan Duquette said, “We did. We looked at that carefully. We also looked on the other side of ledger. He’s a left-hand hitter, our ballpark, he led the league in home runs. You have to weigh both sides.”
Duquette’s scale has worked well 74 games into the season. The Orioles weren’t supposed to be playoff contenders, but at the start of the week they were in first place in the American League East by three games with the second best record in the league.
Despite the Davis-and-Trumbo swings and misses, the Orioles were only sixth in the AL for most strikeouts, and they had the fifth highest batting average and had scored the fifth most runs. Most important, apparently, the Orioles had hit more baseballs out of parks than any other team in the majors.
“Our guys are hitting the ball out of the ballpark when they’re making contact,” Duquette said. “There are times you’re not advancing runners when you don’t make contact.”
How do Baltimore fans feel about the Orioles’ all or nothing offense? “At the end of the day,” Duquette said, “they like power and power hitters. But I don’t think fans come to see players hit the ball over the fence.” But Duquette added, “They don’t come to see players strike out.”
“We encourage the guys to look for their pitch, work on balls in the strike zone,” Duquette said, then raised another element. “There’s a number of pitchers who throw over 95. With more and more pitchers throwing hard, that’s what you’re seeing – the strikeout rate going up. The velocity has increased the last 15 years.”
While the increase in pitchers’ velocity has very likely contributed to the increase in strikeouts, it is also true that major league hitters can hit pitches at any speed, especially if they don’t move when or before they reach the plate.
Even Aroldis Chapman has been hit this season, even though his pitches have been clocked as high as 105 miles an hour. The New York Yankees’ closer, who was suspended for the first month of the season for violating baseball’s domestic violence policy, has allowed 16 hits, including 2 home runs, in 20 innings. The Cuban left-hander has also struck out 31,
Colorado’s rookie shortstop, Story, was not celebrated in the first week of the season for his strikeouts, but they have piled up.
“If you look at his history in the minor leagues the strikeouts have never been low,” said Jeff Bridich, the Rockies’ general manager. Throughout his minor league career Story averaged more than one strikeout a game.
“He’s been a talented hitter. Minor league performance isn’t necessarily the great barometer or telltale sign that was going to happen in the majors. It’s just going to come down to what adjustment he’s going to make. Time’s going to tell, He’s still facing pitchers for the first time. This is a natural thing for a young hitter to go through in the big leagues.”
Bridich cited another Rockies’ youngster, though one with more experience. Third baseman Nolan Arenado, 25, is in his fourth major league season, and he leads the National League with 63 r.b.i., .591 slugging percentage and 161 total bases and is tied for the home run lead with 21.
“He’s already got as many walks this year as he had last year,” Bridich said. “He struck out 100 times last year and he has 35. He’s obviously learned some things.”
Last season Arenado struck out 110 times and walked 34 times. This season the ratio is far more favorable – 36 walks and 37 strikeouts.
Bridich is looking for a similar improvement from Story as he gains more experience.
“We have to make sure there’s a reliable swing and good balanced,” the general manager said. “To this point it’s been workable. It’s been positive. We have to remember he’s had less than half a season at the major league level. It’s a lot of things. These young guys at this level learn as they go through their career.”
Despite their different levels of experience, Arenado and Story shared a listing among the National League leaders Sunday: Extra base hits:
Story COL 40
Arenado COL 40
Story, of course, has been the beneficiary of Jose Reyes’ domestic violence episode with his wife. Katherine Ramirez allowed the veteran shortstop to escape the charge by refusing to cooperate with Hawaiian investigators. Major League Baseball, however, suspended him for two months, and when his suspension ended, the Rockies released him.
I asked Bridich what he would have done with Story had Reyes not created the domestic violence issue.
“I’m glad I don’t have to answer that,” he said.
Story, though, is not an accidental replacement for Reyes.
“He’s been thought of as part of our future,” Bridich said. “We’ve thought about him that way for a long time. As he was growing up we were sure it was going to be good. A lot has happened bad. He’s had an opportunity.
We hope he stays the same as he has been.”
STRIKEOUTS SOARING
As the following chart shows, strikeouts have been rising as hitters have become more long-ball conscious and pitchers have become harder throwers. No end appears in sight. Some baseball people talk about cycles, but this trend appears to be more than a cycle.
If you study the chart closely you will see the aberration of the 2005 season. The number of strikeouts dropped that season and went back up immediately the next season. Adam Dunn led the majors in strikeouts in 2004-05-06, and his total dropped and rose as the over-all total reacted.
Strikeouts last season represented a 22 percent increase over 2005, and the percentage of increase over that season’s total will be even greater this year.

REDS HONOR ROSE, DISHONOR BASEBALL
The Cincinnati Reds last Saturday honored Pete Rose, a man without honor, who deserves no honor.
The Reds inducted their former player, manager and liar into their hall of fame, courtesy of Commissioner Rob Manfred. Under terms of his lifetime ineligibility, which Manfred upheld in rejecting Rose’s appeal for reinstatement in December 2014, Rose and the Reds needed Manfred’s approval for such an event. Inexplicably he gave it to them.
At the time of Manfred’s approval, I suggested it was his way of placating the Reds’ principal owner, Bob Castellini, who opposed Manfred’s election in August 2014. The suggestion outraged Manfred. I have heard nothing since to change my mind.
Now Rose has had his undeserved honor, Castellini has had his undeserved sellout and Manfred has a new vote for re-election in his pocket.

“I’m passionate about umpiring,” Pawol said in a telephone conversation Wednesday evening, “I absolutely love the work, the job. I can’t imagine not doing this the rest of my life. I attended an umpiring camp in Cincinnati last summer to see if I had what they were looking for. If it didn’t work out, it didn’t, but it has worked out on the good side. I have worked as hard as I could and I love it.
